Outsider from Gaza likely to succeed Yahya; Mohammad Sinwar to lead Hamas’ war effort

Hamas is facing leadership changes as Yahya Sinwar is expected to be replaced by a new leader based outside of Gaza, with his brother Mohammad Sinwar taking on a bigger role in directing the war against Israel. The decision will involve considering the interests of both Iran and Qatar, where potential candidates reside. Sinwar’s responsibilities may be divided between military and political roles, with the new leader needing to have authority for ceasefire talks. Despite challenges, Hamas is expected to maintain core demands in negotiations. With Sinwar’s death, leadership temporarily passes to his deputy in Qatar, but the armed wing may play a significant role in decision-making. Hamas will need to navigate political dynamics to ensure stability and continuity in the midst of ongoing conflict.